Noche UFC 3 – Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira: Texas-vs-Texas lightweight clash. Can Hernandez’s pace and burst entries outwork Ferreira’s seasoned counters and BJJ pressure?
Matchup Lightweight (155 lb)
Tale of the Tape
Age: 32
Height: 5’9" (175 cm)
Reach: 72" (183 cm)
Stance: Orthodox
Camp: Factory X Muay Thai
Base: Boxer-wrestler / explosive entries
Country: 🇺🇸United States
Age
Height
Reach
Stance
Camp
Base
Country
Age: 40
Height: 5’9" (175 cm)
Reach: 74" (188 cm)
Stance: Orthodox
Camp: Fortis MMA
Base: BJJ pressure / clinch trips
Country:
Brazil🇧🇷
Recent Form Last 5 fights
Alexander Hernandez
- W vs Chase Hooper — TKO (4:58 R1), UFC 319 (Aug 16, 2025)
- W vs Kurt Holobaugh — DEC (UD), UFC Fight Night (Mar 15, 2025)
- W vs Austin Hubbard — DEC (SD), UFC 307 (Oct 5, 2024)
- L vs Damon Jackson — DEC (SD), UFC Fight Night (Apr 6, 2024)
- L vs Bill Algeo — DEC (UD), UFC Fight Night (Oct 7, 2023)
Diego Ferreira
- L vs Grant Dawson — DEC (UD), UFC 311 (Jan 18, 2025)
- W vs Mateusz Rebecki — TKO (4:51 R3), UFC Fight Night (May 11, 2024)
- W vs Michael Johnson — KO (1:50 R2), UFC Fight Night (May 20, 2023)
- L vs Mateusz Gamrot — TKO (3:26 R2), UFC Fight Night (Dec 18, 2021)
- L vs Gregor Gillespie — TKO (4:51 R2), UFC Fight Night (May 8, 2021)
Styles, Strengths & Weaknesses
Alexander Hernandez
- Strengths: Fast footwork and level changes; crisp 1-2 to right cross; strong cage pushes into doubles.
- Weaknesses: Can fade if forced to wrestle defensively; hittable in pocket exchanges when overextending.
- Game Plan: Jabs to set the entry; mix takedown looks to lower Ferreira’s stance; maintain center to avoid clinch stalls.
Diego Ferreira
- Strengths: Grinding top control; heavy ground-and-pound; educated pressure with body-lock and trips.
- Weaknesses: Defensive lapses during scrambles; recent durability questions vs sustained power.
- Game Plan: Crowd the pocket; clinch to trips; mat returns and half-guard rides to tax Hernandez’s speed.
Win Conditions
Hernandez
- Keep center and pace; punch-to-takedown sequences to bank control time.
- Target entries after jab feints; avoid extended clinch rides.
- Break on the exits—two-piece and circle to reset.
Ferreira
- Walk Hernandez to fence; chain body-lock → outside trips.
- Prioritize top pressure over scrambles; elbows to force back exposure.
- Invest in body work early to sap Hernandez’s burst.
Prediction
Pick: Alexander Hernandez by Decision (29-28)
Confidence: ~55% — momentum and speed at home in San Antonio; Ferreira’s top game remains a real spoiler if he establishes clinch control.
FAQ
ESPN: How to watch (Prelims 3pm ET / Main 6pm ET)