Noche UFC 3 – Jesus Aguilar vs Luis Gurule: Guillotine ace Aguilar meets Factory X striker Gurule. Can Aguilar’s squeeze and scrambles disrupt Gurule’s long jab-and-kick rhythm?
Matchup Flyweight (125 lb)
Tale of the Tape
Age: 29
Height: 5’4" (163 cm)
Reach: 62" (157 cm)
Stance: Orthodox
Camp: Entram Gym
Base: Grappler / Guillotine chains
Country: 🇲🇽Mexico
Age
Height
Reach
Stance
Camp
Base
Country
Age: 31
Height: 5’5" (165 cm)
Reach: 64" (163 cm)
Stance: Orthodox
Camp: Factory X Muay Thai
Base: Striker / long jab & kicks
Country:
United States🇺🇸
Recent Form Last 5 fights
Jesus Aguilar
- L vs Rafael Estevam — DEC (UD), UFC Fight Night (Feb 15, 2025)
- W vs Stewart Nicoll — SUB (Guillotine 2:39 R1), UFC 305 (Aug 17, 2024)
- W vs Mateus Mendonça — DEC (SD), UFC Mexico City (Feb 24, 2024)
- W vs Shannon Ross — KO (0:17 R1), UFC 290 (Jul 8, 2023)
- L vs Tatsuro Taira — SUB (Triangle Armbar R1), UFC Vegas 68 (Feb 4, 2023)
Luis Gurule
- L vs Ode Osbourne — TKO (1:54 R2), UFC Fight Night (Apr 5, 2025)
- W vs Nick Piccininni — DEC (SD), DWCS (Oct 15, 2024)
- W vs Jacob Silva — SUB (Arm-Triangle 2:32 R4), Fury FC 96 (Sep 22, 2024)
- W vs Alberto Trujillo — DEC (UD), Fury FC 89 (Apr 21, 2024)
- W vs Gerardo Graniel — DEC (UD), Fury Challenger Series 8 (Oct 22, 2023)
Styles, Strengths & Weaknesses
Jesus Aguilar
- Strengths: Nasty front-choke/guillotine chains; compact counter right; savvy scrambles.
- Weaknesses: Short reach; can get stuck under strong top control; entries can be telegraphed when chasing necks.
- Game Plan: Crowd the pocket → feint level changes; clinch to fence; snap guillotine on sloppy exits.
Luis Gurule
- Strengths: Clean jab, low/body kicks; solid first-layer TDD; late-fight finishing threat (arm-triangle).
- Weaknesses: Defensive gaps mid-exchange; backs straight to fence at times; limited UFC sample.
- Game Plan: Keep long—jab + low kick; deny collar ties; punish level changes with knees/uppercuts; pivot off the cage.
Win Conditions
Aguilar
- Force scrambles off caught kicks → front-choke threats.
- Clamp head/arm in clinch breaks; threaten guillotine to deter shots.
- Pressure early to test Gurule’s cage exits.
Gurule
- Win range with jab/low kicks; sprawl and counter immediately.
- Stay off the fence; pivot and re-center after combinations.
- Target the body to sap Aguilar’s squeeze late.
Prediction
Pick: Luis Gurule by Decision (29-28)
Confidence: ~58% — Gurule’s range control should edge rounds; Aguilar’s guillotine keeps real upset equity.
FAQ
ESPN: How to watch (Prelims 3pm ET / Main 6pm ET)